Quote of the Day – 10.23.08

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QUOTE OF THE DAY….From Alan Greenspan, testifying before Congress on the derivatives market:

“Credit default swaps, I think, have serious problems associated with them.”

Ya think? The subprime lending market may have been the trigger for our late financial collapse, but the truth is that the trigger could just as easily been mispriced risk (i.e., irrational exuberance) in a variety of other markets. If subprimes had been regulated better, maybe there would have been a bubble in commercial real estate instead. Or arctic oil drilling. Or online pet food companies. Who knows? Regardless of the trigger, however, it was only when the resulting bubble got multiplied tenfold by opaque global chains of credit default swaps that the bursting of an asset bubble went from routine disaster to worldwide financial meltdown. So yeah: there are serious problems there. Here’s more from Greenspan:

“I made a mistake in presuming that the self-interests of organizations, specifically banks and others, were such as that they were best capable of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms,” Mr. Greenspan said.

….Mr. Waxman pressed the former Fed chair to clarify his words. “In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right, it was not working,” Mr. Waxman said.

“Absolutely, precisely,” Mr. Greenspan replied. “You know, that’s precisely the reason I was shocked, because I have been going for 40 years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well.”

Hmmm. Maybe not quite so well as he thought.

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WE'LL BE BLUNT

It is astonishingly hard keeping a newsroom afloat these days, and we need to raise $253,000 in online donations quickly, by October 7.

The short of it: Last year, we had to cut $1 million from our budget so we could have any chance of breaking even by the time our fiscal year ended in June. And despite a huge rally from so many of you leading up to the deadline, we still came up a bit short on the whole. We can’t let that happen again. We have no wiggle room to begin with, and now we have a hole to dig out of.

Readers also told us to just give it to you straight when we need to ask for your support, and seeing how matter-of-factly explaining our inner workings, our challenges and finances, can bring more of you in has been a real silver lining. So our online membership lead, Brian, lays it all out for you in his personal, insider account (that literally puts his skin in the game!) of how urgent things are right now.

The upshot: Being able to rally $253,000 in donations over these next few weeks is vitally important simply because it is the number that keeps us right on track, helping make sure we don't end up with a bigger gap than can be filled again, helping us avoid any significant (and knowable) cash-flow crunches for now. We used to be more nonchalant about coming up short this time of year, thinking we can make it by the time June rolls around. Not anymore.

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