January 6, 2012

Predict the GOP Primaries and Win Prizes!

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How good are your political punditry skills? I’ve already made my basic prediction for the Republican presidential race: Mitt Romney is going to win, and he’s probably going to win fairly quickly. But anyone can say that. If you really want prognostication glory, you need to put some numbers to your predictions.

We’re here to help. Click here and you can start playing with our shiny new GOP Primary Predictor. The results for Iowa are already locked in (Romney got 13 delegates, Santorum got 12), but you can enter your predictions for every primary after that. We tell you how many delegates are available in each state, and you parcel them out based on how you think each candidate will do. When you’re done, enter your name and you’ll be eligible for fabulous prizes if you make the closest prediction.1 Click the Twitter button if you want to share your prediction with the world. (Use the hashtag #fantasyGOP to share your results.)

I’ll have a go at New Hampshire, just as a test run. There are 12 delegates available. I think Romney will get 6, Santorum 3, Gingrich 1, Paul 1, and Huntsman 1. Anyone care to predict a Santorum sweep?

1And just what are these prizes? Sorry, but if I told you I’d have to kill you.

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WE'LL BE BLUNT

It is astonishingly hard keeping a newsroom afloat these days, and we need to raise $253,000 in online donations quickly, by October 7.

The short of it: Last year, we had to cut $1 million from our budget so we could have any chance of breaking even by the time our fiscal year ended in June. And despite a huge rally from so many of you leading up to the deadline, we still came up a bit short on the whole. We can’t let that happen again. We have no wiggle room to begin with, and now we have a hole to dig out of.

Readers also told us to just give it to you straight when we need to ask for your support, and seeing how matter-of-factly explaining our inner workings, our challenges and finances, can bring more of you in has been a real silver lining. So our online membership lead, Brian, lays it all out for you in his personal, insider account (that literally puts his skin in the game!) of how urgent things are right now.

The upshot: Being able to rally $253,000 in donations over these next few weeks is vitally important simply because it is the number that keeps us right on track, helping make sure we don't end up with a bigger gap than can be filled again, helping us avoid any significant (and knowable) cash-flow crunches for now. We used to be more nonchalant about coming up short this time of year, thinking we can make it by the time June rolls around. Not anymore.

Because the in-depth journalism on underreported beats and unique perspectives on the daily news you turn to Mother Jones for is only possible because readers fund us. Corporations and powerful people with deep pockets will never sustain the type of journalism we exist to do. The only investors who won’t let independent, investigative journalism down are the people who actually care about its future—you.

And we need readers to show up for us big time—again.

Getting just 10 percent of the people who care enough about our work to be reading this blurb to part with a few bucks would be utterly transformative for us, and that's very much what we need to keep charging hard in this financially uncertain, high-stakes year.

If you can right now, please support the journalism you get from Mother Jones with a donation at whatever amount works for you. And please do it now, before you move on to whatever you're about to do next and think maybe you'll get to it later, because every gift matters and we really need to see a strong response if we're going to raise the $253,000 we need in less than three weeks.

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