Democratic congressional candidate Harley Rouda will challenge incumbent Republican Congressman Dana Rohrabacher this November in an attempt to flip California’s 48th Congressional district from red to blue. Rouda’s competitor, stem cell scientist Hans Kierstead, has conceded the second place spot in California’s “top-two” primary to Rouda, according to Rouda’s Twitter account.
The concession comes after a weekslong, and yet still unfinished, vote count by the Orange County Registrar of Voters. In the days immediately following the election, Kierstead held a narrow lead over Rouda, a real estate investor. As OC workers slowly worked their way through the ballots, Rouda gained on, and eventually surpassed, Kierstead. As of Sunday, Rouda held a 126 vote lead over Kierstead.
I just got off the phone with @drhanskeirstead. We congratulated each other on a hard fought primary and he pledged his full support to our campaign to #flipthe48th and defeat @RepRohrabacher. #ThankYouHans
— Harley Rouda (@HarleyRouda) June 25, 2018
As in six other Republican-held districts across California, more residents of Rohrabacher’s south Orange County district supported Hillary Clinton than Donald Trump in the 2016 election. Demographically, the district has a slight white majority, but about 40 percent of the its residents are either Latino or Asian. Its median annual household income is a healthy $89,000.
Heading into the June 5 primary, many worried that California’s uncommon top-two “jungle primary”—where the top-two primary vote-getters, regardless of party, duke it out in the November general election—could conceivably have lead to Democrats getting locked out of the November general election.
That didn’t happen. On June 6, Democrats let out a sigh of relief as it became clear they had avoided a lock-out in all the in-play districts. But in California’s 48th, the question of which Democrat would advance wasn’t clear until 19 days after the election.
Though Rouda will likely tap broad Democratic financial support on his path to the November general election, his primary victory is basically the result a coin flip. The California State Democratic Party voted in February to endorse Keirstead, but the national Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) opted to spend money boosting Rouda in the days before the primary election.
Incidentally, the DCCC also spent more than $100,000 boosting a lower polling Republican candidate John Gabbard, presumably to siphon votes away from another, stronger candidate Scott Baugh, to decrease the likelihood of Democrats getting shut out of the November general election, according to Open Secrets.